Is Luck a Tangible Commodity
If you have been gambling for as long as I have you cant get away from hearing the word luck used doing business
Good Luck Bad Luck, does it really matter. is Luck a Tangible Commodity.
Can you actual,make your own luck,
How many times do you hear after asking how an owner horse will run.
“Its a good thing if we get just a little luck” what’s that mean.
It means that it is no certainty, or even a good thing,
Recently an owner asked my advice about a runner that they had at Beverley.
I told them that for it to win it will have to overcome a desperate draw position. that is at least a 10 lb disadvantage,
They went for a killing and got beat a head. was it a shrewd operation to go for a touch under those circumstances.
My answer is that it wasn’t shrewd as although they may have had a better price 20/1 instead of 10/1 if they had waited for a good draws against the same handicapped runners it was almost a racing certainty.
Also I wish to discuss two sayings from gamblings folk law.s one from a 20th century poet the other a modern day gambling genius.
The first was by Rudyard Kipling in his Inspirational poem “IF”
I have often believed that the poem had some thing to do with Gambling when in fact it was said to have been written to a Dr Leonard Starr Jameson who led 500 of his soldiers in a raid against Boars in what became known as the Jameson Raid and it was this that tilted the Dutch Boars into a War.
The section that invites Gamblers to a little bravado
Is para 6
“If you can make one heap of all your winnings
And risk it on one turn of Pitch and Toss
And lose and start again at your beginning
And never breath a word about your loss.
Yours is the earth and everything that’s in it
And which is more you will be a man my son”
The other is from a modern day giant. J P MACMANUS, he goes on to tell us
“Better to be a Loin for a day than a Lamb for a life time”
With all due respect I have to disagree in both counts.
In his book JP is accurate in his statement that there is no end to a Gamblers day it never starts and never ends so the nead to CHASE ones loss,s should never be a factor.
Although if the end of a day means that you have to pay your loss,s then of course you may be sucked into an attempt to cover your loss,s. by chasing.
But both are against common scence in the World of Gambling. to think every thing out during the day only for events to go wrong, and yet then start betting in the last to get your loss,s back in races that you had never before planned or prepared is nothing but stupid and there is only one end for a stupid gambler.
As for Rudyard K, the IF, is nothing but an invite to chase,
The shape of how a Gambler plays, is created from his own experience.
All shrewd gamblers know exactly what there staking plan is. and it wouldnt be to act like and gather up all you possess to have it on one.
I clearly know what made me a grafter as against a massive Gambler even when I had the industry in the palm of my hands, during the greyhound starting price period even when I was part of a knock out team, at every tern you have to pit you stake against what the market would tolerate.
The art of all betting coups is to win without the Bookmaker realising it the more you have on the less chance you have of winning,
Your beginnings do shape what you do in your gambling carrier, when my family went bankrupt in 1940 not basically because of gambling, although gambling gave my father a chance to punt his way out of the trouble and that never works.
After that change from poverty to afleance back to poverty convinced me that there was a way gambling to never lose. and I have followed that principal ever since.
The way it is done is by working twice as hard to seek out mistakes made by the industry. price makers.
If I told 1 million people what I was doing they would all say why the dont you win millions of £, simply because the amount of times the offer take place is no more than 5 times a year and Bookmakers are quick to see that a mistake exists and chnage there terms.
So there is a very short limited window,
Example in the last Olympics the biggest Bookmaker in the country offered a bet on the Boxing Tournament
by laying your money out in a multiple staking plan for every £1000 invested you would win £1500 minimum, by 10.30 the offer was up and taken down by 11.30.
So non of these opportunities, are open for one man but 100 men could activate 100 times one mans winnings..
One of the biggest opportunities in horse-race gambling is still in the UK place markets.
By betting on many sporting events they leave themselves vulnerable from a multiple hit,
And this years Formula 1 will be the catalyst that costs some of the biggest firms plenty.
I intend to create a pyramid system for low staking wagers for as many punters as I can inform winning large amounts. through the internet Bookmakers error of judgement.
It will not be before the spring and will be free.to all.
I will keep you all up to date when to expect the try. and the staking plan will be of minute cost.
The true odds will be no more than 8/1 and you will receive over 33/1 well worth the wait and even though I will be trading out any possible loss. you may be happy to let that type of value run
Good Pluck. (Luck not being a word we use on this blog.)
Cubone
